Why I am nonetheless investing in Singapore (and never simply the US)



After I inform folks about a few of my latest funding wins, together with a number of 20% – 48% features in latest months, they have a tendency to imagine I’m speaking about development shares within the US.

Picture Credit: Creator generated, utilizing AI.

Besides that I’m referring to Nice Jap (48%), DBS (25%) and Keppel DC REIT (20%), our regionally listed SGX shares. Whereas others have been flocking to shiny US shares and synthetic intelligence, I seemed for robust, undervalued firms that have been being uncared for by the markets…and my efforts have yielded me fairly good leads to a brief time frame (all below 1 yr).

I’ve all the time maintained that as an investor, we can not afford NOT to spend money on our dwelling market. I began my investing journey in my early 20s with simply Singapore shares and bonds, after which began diversifying into the US and Chinese language markets in my late 20s.

On this article, I’ll share how I’ve been constructing my portfolio to get capital features and passive earnings from investing in Singapore.

1. Put money into essentially robust however undervalued firms.

A core standards in my investing is to give attention to robust, secure firms with a defensible moat and regular development. The Singapore market has many such names, together with DBS, CapitaLand, Jardine Matheson, Keppel, and extra.

CapitaLand, for example, is called a robust property developer and asset supervisor not simply in Singapore, but additionally in China, Australia and now has operations in greater than 260 cities globally. Or Keppel, which operates in greater than 20 international locations worldwide, offering crucial infrastructure and providers for renewables, clear vitality and extra.

Picture Credit: Creator’s personal compilation.

As these firms develop their presence in Asia, I get capital features from holding their inventory. In fact, in case you don’t have time to analyse and choose particular person shares, a simple method to get publicity could be via the Nikko AM Singapore STI ETF, which provides you entry to the highest Singapore firms and mechanically rebalances its constituents semi-annually.

2. Conduct scuttlebutt analysis.

Investing in Singaporean firms additionally provides you the possibility to conduct due diligence regionally to seek out out deeper insights and on-the-ground realities that aren’t all the time captured in its annual experiences or on the information.

That is often known as the “scuttlebutt methodology”, first coined by Phil Fisher in his e-book “Frequent Shares and Unusual Income” (see my listing of really helpful investing books right here). This will contain speaking to the corporate’s prospects, workers, and doing bodily, on-the-ground analysis to seek out out if the narrative being promoted by the corporate is certainly taking form.

Why do prospects proceed to make use of the corporate’s merchandise/providers? What would inspire them to modify to a competitor? How tough wouldn’t it be for them to modify to the competitors? Asking these questions assist us to essentially assess the corporate’s moat and the potential switching prices concerned, which makes for a extra sticky enterprise.

It was my scuttlebutt analysis that led me to spend money on DBS above our different 2 native banks. And whereas all 3 have achieved nicely these days – fuelled by the rise in rates of interest – DBS has outperformed its rivals by a big margin. After I journey to different Asia international locations, I additionally see the DBS emblem on buildings and financial institution branches extra usually than I do for OCBC and UOB, which reaffirms to me that DBS’ development in Asia is quicker and extra widespread than its rivals.

Positive aspects in DBS vs. OCBC vs. UOB for the final 5 years:

Compiled by creator, correct as of 8 August 2024 closing day.

Right here’s one other instance: Seize (NASDAQ:GRAB) was simply named as a high inventory choose by The Motley Idiot in April 2024 for its paid subscribers. However as an area right here, I’m not as satisfied due to what I’m seeing being practiced right here.

In reality, when Seize IPO-ed again in 2020, I discussed on my Instagram that I’d not purchase in as a result of I felt it was priced at overly optimistic projections, given the on-the-ground struggles I’ve seen Seize right here in Asia. Singapore is only one of Seize’s many markets in Southeast Asia, however after I journey to Malaysia, I wish to ask the drivers and locals inquiries to see if their utilization of Seize is as robust as what the narrative appears to counsel.

It’s tougher for me to conduct scuttlebutt analysis for US shares – which is why I prolonged my latest US journey in Q1 this yr to a grand whole of 10 days in order that I might not less than spend a while testing the companies of a number of US shares that I used to be all in favour of, together with Shopify and Costco.

3. Dividends.

Other than capital features, I additionally spend money on Singapore shares for passive earnings within the type of dividends.

After I first began investing within the early 2010s, my capital was small and therefore the dividends I obtained was puny. It was simple to dismiss a 6% yearly dividend when your portfolio capital is small, however through the years, the dimensions of my investments grew because the underlying companies grew and expanded.

Let’s not overlook our native Actual Property Funding Trusts (REITs), which have been a mainstay for traders who search passive earnings – since REITs are mandated to pay 90% of their earnings to traders as dividends (supply:DBS, 2024).

Though our native REITs suffered a beating in share costs and valuations in recent times, with rates of interest prone to be lower within the close to time period, I imagine that Singapore REITs are beginning to development upwards once more.

Supply: Screenshot from FundSupermart as of 8 August 2024

Which is why I not too long ago invested over $50,000 into the NikkoAM-StraitsTrading Asia ex Japan REIT ETF as a result of I felt it was oversold, and based mostly on publicly accessible info on SGX, the trailing 12 month distributions at the moment yielding an approximate 6% at at present’s rangeshave been adequate indication for me personally to receives a commission whereas I look forward to the restoration within the REIT sector with out having to fret about rights points.

4. Zero taxes or foreign exchange dangers.

Trending on Reddit and social media nowadays is the S&P 500 and its long- time period attractiveness for funding. However in case you’re not based mostly in the US, I imagine that it’ll be a mistake to blindly observe this development with out understanding what you’re setting your self up for sooner or later.

That’s as a result of for international traders such as you and I, the US authorities imposes 30% withholding taxes on dividends and as much as 40% property taxes in your US belongings.

US taxes for non-US traders are to not be scoffed at.
Picture Supply: Inner Income Service

Watch this video in case you’re uncertain of how US taxes work for non-US residents.

However right here in Singapore, we should not have to pay such taxes on our native investments. I don’t get taxed for capital features or dividends (not like my mates over within the US), and if something unlucky have been to ever occur to me, my total Singapore portfolio will go to my family members as an inheritance with none tax payments to be paid.

To scale back our yearly taxes, we are able to additionally make use of the Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) the place you’ll be able to contribute as much as $15,300 yearly (or $35,700 in case you’re a foreigner) and make investments that in our native bonds, shares or ETFs.

Aside from tax considerations, one other difficulty I had with shopping for beaten-down US shares again through the March – April 2020 pandemic crash was the truth that the SGD-USD price was at an all-time excessive and never in my favour.

Supply: Screenshot from Google Finance

However after we spend money on Singapore, this received’t be an issue since we’ll be investing utilizing SGD. Once you’re making an attempt to construct a diversified portfolio of bonds and equities, that is additionally why it makes extra sense for most individuals to do it regionally with out taking up any FX danger that will erode your funding returns.

Some examples are authorities bonds captured within the ABF Singapore Bond Index Fund, which tracks a basket of high-quality AAA-rated bonds issued primarily by the Singapore Authorities and quasi-Singapore authorities entities. In any other case, company bonds issued by secure, blue-chip issuers resembling NTUC Revenue or Temasek will be accessed via the Nikko AM SGD Funding Grade Company Bond ETF with out having to lock up a lot money in a single, institutional bond alone.

TLDR: Don’t underestimate the potential features it’s possible you’ll make investing in Singapore.

In recent times, most younger traders I meet at occasions have been telling me that they personal US shares or cryptocurrencies, however few converse of our native SGX investments.

I can perceive why. Nearly all of monetary influencers on social media discuss this stuff, particularly given how nicely the US markets have achieved within the final yr.

Should you look over at Reddit, the identical narrative is being propagated – spend money on the S&P 500 utilizing dollar-cost averaging and ignore every part else. As such, new traders might imagine that investing within the US is the one method to go.

However this can be a type of recency bias, the place traders anticipate related returns from the previous to repeat sooner or later. And in my view, the most well-liked (or most echoed) method…might not all the time be one of the best ways. Particularly in case you’re making an attempt to beat the market.

As an investor, you wish to look the place others are not wanting.
I’ve used this method for years and it has labored fantastically nicely for me.

That is why my publicity to Singapore shares and bonds proceed to type a core basis in my funding portfolio. Whereas many youthful traders are flocking to US shares and cryptocurrencies for fast capital features, I keep a balanced method in the best way I make investments – which incorporates being vested in my dwelling nation (Singapore) for undervalued shares and passive earnings via dividends. And what higher time than now with Singapore’s 59th birthday developing! Majulah Singapura!

Disclosure: This publish is delivered to you in collaboration with Nikko Asset Administration Asia Restricted (“Nikko AM Asia”). All analysis and opinions are that of my very own. Investments contain dangers, together with the doable lack of principal quantity invested. Not one of the shares or ETFs talked about listed here are a BUY or SELL advice; it's best to use this text as a place to begin to get concepts to your personal funding portfolio and make your individual selections as a substitute. And in case you want to study extra in regards to the numerous ETFs provided by Nikko AM Asia which you need to use for SRS and CPF investing, click on into the respective hyperlinks above to retrieve the fund prospectus and efficiency in order that will help you determine whether or not it suits into your funding targets.
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